I pray that I am wrong but the attack on the Golden Mosque in Samarra was clearly an attempt to set off a civil war in Iraq, I think it will succeed. If Iraq does erupt into an all out civil war the British and Americans do not have the numbers deployed to stop it.
We are at a tipping point, stay and try to minimise the damage done in a civil conflict or pull out at let Iraq battle its way to a standstill. Neither option is appealing and I have to confess I don’t know enough about the area to decide on which is least destructive.
One thing is clear, if we stay we will lose troops. Iraq is about to become a lot more dangerous and the relationship between the British and the local communities is at a low ebb. Now is not a good time to be a British soldier in Iraq.